Illinois, corrupt governors, and “Do the right thing”
May 2nd, 2008Via tee bee, I see that Illinois’s corrupt governor is rapidly losing the support of his own party.
I have a theory that the most corrupt places are those where one party is dominant, but not to the extent that party members are comfortable with the idea of taking on incumbent office-holders.
When parties are closely matched, they can serve as a check on each other. If Wisconsin Democrats nominated for governor a man as corrupt and feckless as Blagojevich, the Republicans would win. As a result, we tend to nominate good people instead. (*)
And in places like Illinois, where GOP has destroyed itself (**), the parties are becomning so unevenly matched that there’s no danger for downstate Democrats in asking their governor to “do the right thing” and resign. It’s highly unlikely that Blagojevich will be replaced by a Republican. He’s be replaced by a much better Democrat.
The problem lies when the balance of power falls into that middle ground — New Jersey or Florida might be good examples — where politicians from the majority party are unlikely to lose re-election campaigns unless they lose the support of their party. And the party, in general, is unwilling to countenance challenges to incumbents, because they don’t want to risk throwing the election to the other guys.
So as Illinois moves from a state that leans Democratic, to a solid Democratic stronghold, it’s not surprising that the state party is increasingly willing to demand more of its leaders. That’s good news for everyone.
(*) The same metric works the other way, as well; whatever one thought of Mark Green’s political agenda (”not much” being the only answer that comes to mind), he certainly seemed like a honest public servant at the time, and since he’s now living halfway around the world in the apparently thankless job of ambassador to Tanzania, there’s no reason for me to reevaluate that judgment.
(**) E.g., their previous governor is currently doing time in a federal prison, and their most recent Senate candidate was Alan Keyes.


