Illinois, corrupt governors, and “Do the right thing”
May 2, 2008
Via tee bee, I see that Illinois’s corrupt governor is rapidly losing the support of his own party.
I have a theory that the most corrupt places are those where one party is dominant, but not to the extent that party members are comfortable with the idea of taking on incumbent office-holders.
When parties are closely matched, they can serve as a check on each other. If Wisconsin Democrats nominated for governor a man as corrupt and feckless as Blagojevich, the Republicans would win. As a result, we tend to nominate good people instead. (*)
And in places like Illinois, where GOP has destroyed itself (**), the parties are becomning so unevenly matched that there’s no danger for downstate Democrats in asking their governor to “do the right thing” and resign. It’s highly unlikely that Blagojevich will be replaced by a Republican. He’s be replaced by a much better Democrat.
The problem lies when the balance of power falls into that middle ground — New Jersey or Florida might be good examples — where politicians from the majority party are unlikely to lose re-election campaigns unless they lose the support of their party. And the party, in general, is unwilling to countenance challenges to incumbents, because they don’t want to risk throwing the election to the other guys.
So as Illinois moves from a state that leans Democratic, to a solid Democratic stronghold, it’s not surprising that the state party is increasingly willing to demand more of its leaders. That’s good news for everyone.
(*) The same metric works the other way, as well; whatever one thought of Mark Green’s political agenda (”not much” being the only answer that comes to mind), he certainly seemed like a honest public servant at the time, and since he’s now living halfway around the world in the apparently thankless job of ambassador to Tanzania, there’s no reason for me to reevaluate that judgment.
(**) E.g., their previous governor is currently doing time in a federal prison, and their most recent Senate candidate was Alan Keyes.
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May 3rd, 2008 at 5:59 am
“and their most recent Senate candidate was Alan Keyes.”
That’s where I have a problem with your dichotomy control conclusion - if the Repubs had things wrapped up, why’d they bring in a pinch-hitter, or shall I say, carpetbagger, for that race?
I’m not willing to go so far as to say an imbalance is subject to corruption; that may be the tail wagging the dog. Lower order power exploiters tend to jump on the engine that runs the gravy train.
May 3rd, 2008 at 8:33 am
More like guidelines than conclusions.
There’s nothing inherent in an imbalance of power that will reduce corruption, but my supposition is that, if we assume a constant ratio X of honest men to dishonest men in a political party, the honest men will have more leverage within a party in which primaries serve as de facto general elections, and are expected to be contested.
May 4th, 2008 at 11:50 am
Hey Ben I could use California,Louisiana, New York and Jersey to show the same thing your talking about. I love how everyone was talking about the poor people in New Orleans that City and the State of Louisisana have been run by Dems for 40 years or more should’nt it of been a Utopia by now?
May 4th, 2008 at 12:55 pm
Far from being run by Democrats, Louisiana leans Republican (the corrupt middle ground in my paradigm), and has voted with the winner in every presidential election in the last thirty-six years. There’s a Republican governor, a Republican senator (the family values guy who was caught with a hooker), and the congressional delegation includes three Democrats and three Republicans.
And it’s not like the Louisiana Democratic Party is being run by people like Russ Feingold or Paul Wellstone. The two most prominent members who come to mind are a conservative who applied a patina of bipartisanship to a GOP effort to kill health care legislation, and then left Congress to become a lobbyist for the pharmaceutical industry; and the guy who had $90,000 in his freezer.
May 4th, 2008 at 9:01 pm
The Governer is new and ran on Cleaning up the state government. I was refering to Schoolbus Nagen and the Incompatent Governer who helped botch the aftermath of Katrina.
May 5th, 2008 at 7:27 am
If I were briefed to defend the proposition that the GOP is the party of good government, I don’t think I’d mention Katrina…
May 5th, 2008 at 8:22 pm
HA HA that was more a failure of citizenship and local Government than anything on the Fed level. I also forgot to mention what is going on in the land of the 1 state Recession.
May 6th, 2008 at 11:03 am
The citizens are responsible for the levees?
http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2005/09/01/AR2005090102261.html
http://www.govexec.com/dailyfed/0905/090105jv1.htm
May 6th, 2008 at 7:04 pm
NO but they are responsible for evacuating when they are told to.
I would say the City and State Gov. are responsible for the levees
May 9th, 2008 at 11:21 am
Don’t know why I’m struggling to follow you on this: “the honest men will have more leverage within a party in which primaries serve as de facto general elections, and are expected to be contested. ”
I think it leaves out too many factors - why would they have more leverage, presuming a 50-50 split of honest-dishonest? How will it tip if the dishonest get the nod? Do we assume a similar voter ratio? Are voters always “good” and by extension popular elections lift the best candidates?
We know that’s not true.